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Middle East & Africa PC Market Stabilizes as Tablet Demand Continues to Plummet

IDC

The Middle East and Africa (MEA) personal computing devices (PCD) market, which is made up of desktops, notebooks, workstations, and tablets, declined 7.7% year on year in Q2 2018, according to the latest insights from International Data Corporation (IDC).

The global technology research and consulting firm’s Quarterly PCD Tracker shows that shipments fell to around 5.4 million units for the three-month period, which represents the lowest quarterly volume recorded for more than seven years.

“While this marks a considerable decline for the overall market, the PC segment actually performed well, with desktops experiencing strong growth and notebooks experiencing only a small decline,” explains Fouad Charakla, IDC’s senior research manager for client devices in the Middle East, Turkey, and Africa. “However, there was a much more significant decline in tablet shipments, and only the aggressive distribution push of certain Far-Eastern players prevented an even steeper decline.”

The biggest decline in PCD shipments was seen in the ‘Rest of Middle East’ group of countries (which comprises Iran, Iraq, Syria, Yemen, Afghanistan, and Palestine). “Iran accounted for the largest chunk of this decline, with the country’s worsening economic situation further weakening the local currency, which in turn caused shipments into the country to become more expensive and demand to decline,” says Charakla. “The MEA region’s largest single market, Turkey, experienced something similar, with the country’s currency weakening to new lows against the U.S. Dollar, causing a significant increase in the cost of imported devices and a corresponding decline in demand.”

In stark contrast, South Africa experienced strong year-on-year growth in PCD shipments after the rand reached one of its highest levels against the US dollar in recent times. “Market players operating in the country continued to take advantage of this opportunity throughout Q2 2018, with imported PCs costing far less than previously for both local channels and end users,” says Charakla. “Other countries that saw strong year-on-year growth for the quarter were Egypt, Nigeria, Kenya, and Lebanon.”

IDC’s research shows that the leading PC vendors remained unchanged in Q2 2018, with the top five all occupying the same positions as Q2 2017. While HP experienced a significant year-on-year jump in its share of PC shipments for the quarter, all the other major players saw their shares shrink, with the exception of Acer, which remained flat. It is also worth noting that the top three vendors accounted for more than 80% of the region’s commercial PC shipments in Q2 2018.

Middle East & Africa PC Market Vendor Shares – Q2 2017 vs. Q2 2018

Company

Q2 2017

Q2 2018

HP Inc.

27.6%

31.7%

Lenovo

21.7%

18.8%

Dell

16.8%

15.5%

ASUS

9.4%

7.3%

Acer Group

4.1%

4.1%

Others

20.4%

22.6%

In the tablet segment, Samsung retained its lead in terms of shipments, with most of the major players increasing their shares year on year as the number of vendors active in this space continues to consolidate amid shrinking demand.

Middle East & Africa Tablet Market Vendor Shares – Q2 2017 vs. Q2 2018

Company

Q2 2017

Q2 2018

Samsung

19.1%

21.0%

Huawei

15.9%

18.9%

Lenovo

9.9%

9.7%

Apple

8.9%

9.1%

TCL Alcatel

5.1%

5.6%

Others

41.1%

35.7%

Looking ahead, IDC expects overall PCD shipments to the MEA region to total 22,369,321 units for 2018 as a whole. IDC forecasts that this figure will decline at a steady rate over the coming years to total 20,820,235 units in 2022.

“The biggest declines will be seen in the tablet space, as demand for these devices will continue to be cannibalized by the growing use of smartphones,” says Charakla. “In terms of country markets, Turkey will experience by far the largest decline in PCD shipments in 2018 as the lira’s perilous exchange rate against the dollar is not expected to recover until 2019.

“With demand for tablets falling significantly, the UAE market will see a huge year-on-year decline in PCD shipments during Q3 2018, while cautious end-user sentiment will exacerbate the situation in Saudi Arabia, with the Kingdom’s overall PCD market set for a notable decline. Over in Egypt, however, a large-scale education deal is expected to cause a significant rise in PCD shipments during the second half of 2018.”

Middle East & Africa PCD Market Shipment Forecast, 2017–2022

Product Category

2017

2018

2022

CAGR 2017–2022

PC

12,310,198

12,091,439

12,183,714

-0.21%

Tablet

11,354,777

10,277,882

8,636,521

-5.33%

Total

23,664,975

22,369,321

20,820,235

-2.53%

About IDC

International Data Corporation (IDC) is the premier global provider of market intelligence, advisory services, and events for the information technology, telecommunications, and consumer technology markets. With more than 1,100 analysts worldwide, IDC offers global, regional, and local expertise on technology and industry opportunities and trends in over 110 countries. IDC’s analysis and insight helps IT professionals, business executives, and the investment community to make fact-based technology decisions and to achieve their key business objectives. Founded in 1964, IDC is a subsidiary of IDG, the world’s leading technology media, research, and events company. To learn more about IDC, please visit www.idc.com. Follow IDC on Twitter at @IDC.

IDC in the Middle East, Africa, and Turkey

For the Middle East, Africa, and Turkey region, IDC retains a coordinated network of offices in Riyadh, Nairobi, Lagos, Johannesburg, Cairo, and Istanbul, with a regional center in Dubai. Our coverage couples local insight with an international perspective to provide a comprehensive understanding of markets in these dynamic regions. Our market intelligence services are unparalleled in depth, consistency, scope, and accuracy. IDC Middle East, Africa, and Turkey currently fields over 130 analysts, consultants, and conference associates across the region. To learn more about IDC MEA, please visit www.idc-cema.com. You can follow IDC MEA on Twitter at @IDCMEA.